Pastoral farming strategies and management adapted to climate change
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5564/jimdt.v6i1.3598Keywords:
Climate change, System dynamics model, pastoralism, simulationAbstract
Mongolia is one of the most sensitive and vulnerable countries to climate change, and the average air temperature has increased by 2.1℃ in the last 70 years. Also, the fact that climate change is negatively affecting not only natural ecosystems, but also major social and economic sectors such as agriculture, animal husbandry, and farming indicates the need for immediate and urgent measures. In this paper, the impact of adaptation opportunities to climate change is calculated by cost-benefit analysis, where and when it is appropriate to implement it was calculated by AHP method (Analytic Hierarch Process), and social, economic and environmental effects are calculated by system dynamics modeling. In this research work, it is possible to predict the results of adaptation measures to climate change using the method of dynamic system modeling on the example of Sukhbaatar Province, and the main feature is that the method of system dynamic modeling was used in combination with cost-benefit analysis and multi-factor analysis.
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Copyright (c) 2024 Ariun-Erdene Dashjamts, Tseveengerel Tumurbaatar, Uuganbayar Budjav
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